Skepticism

A Skeptical Tarot

Posted on June 25, 2010 at 3:13 pm

I am a hard and fast materialist and skeptic. I don’t for a second believe in the supernatural. But, I am very interested in the occult. In my studies, I have looked at the Tarot in great detail and I actually use them. Before you think I’ve gone off the deep end, let me explain.

Any divination tool can be used in two ways. The first is for fortune telling. This is what you get at the carnival sideshow, when you are told that a tall and dark stranger will meet you next week. This use, in my experience, is complete bullshit and no different from the cold readers who talk to your dear departed relatives. The other use for these tools is for divination. Divination is an attempt to get at currently unknown information. Most Tarot card users claim that this information is gleaned through a paranormal source or method. Of course, I don’t believe this. But, I do believe that Tarot cards can help in divining.

Imagine you have some issue in your life that you are troubled by. You try and you try to find a solution, but for whatever reason, you can’t find one immediately. When this happens to me, I find that I get trapped in a very deep mental rut. Every time I think through the issue, my thoughts end up following the exact same thread. When this happens, I take out one of my decks of Tarot cards and do a reading. Usually, with one reading, I come to a different and more satisfying solution. But, if it isn’t magick, how does it work?

When you get stuck in a mental rut, what you need most is a way to generate new ideas. A system of divination does this by giving you a series of symbols with somewhat generic, yet still somewhat specific, meanings. You then need to take these symbols and their meanings and try to fit them into your life and the issue you are thinking about. This process forces you to make new connections between the various thoughts in your head. Any symbol system that has a set of symbols with generic meanings can be used in this way. Simply making a random selection of symbols and trying to fit them into the problem you are contemplating can open up many other possible solutions.

So, if you have a stubborn issue, give divination a try. You might be able to find a solution that comes completely out of left-field.

New video blog

Posted on May 17, 2010 at 9:32 pm

I’ve been listening to the Skeptoid podcast for a long time now, and I’ve been a big fan. Well now you can get your skeptical video fix, too. A sibling vodcast called inFactVideo is available. I’ve watched the first few and it is now in my regular list of downloads. Have a look and see what you think.

What if – Homeopathy Worked?

Posted on April 18, 2010 at 9:53 pm

There have been several articles written showing that homeopathy has no measurable effects. There have also been articles written showing the absurdity of homeopathy. This article is going to be different. We’re going to look at homeopathy and grant the proponents the benefit of a doubt. We will assume that everything reportedly claimed about homeopathy and its effects is true. Using that as our basis, where do we end up?

Let’s start with a refresher on what exactly homeopathy is. Homeopathy operates on the principle that as a solution gets more dilute, its effects on biological systems increases. So the strength of a homeopathic remedy is a measure of its relative dilution. All of the measures are made using orders of 10. So a dilution of 1X is a 1 in 10 dilution. A dilution of 2X would be a 1 in 10 dilution of a 1 in 10 dilution, or a 1 in 100 dilution. A dilution of 3X would therefore be a 1 in 1000 dilution, and so on and so on.

One of the mechanisms cited quite often for how homeopathy works is that water molecules have some form of memory, and that the water solvent somehow remembers the chemical compounds that it has come in contact with. We won’t, for the moment, concerns ourselves with the how. For now, we will simply accept that this is true. What does this mean?

The very first concern should be, how do we get uncontaminated water to make our remedies with? If water remembers all of the chemicals that it has been in contact with, then any liquid water is, by this definition, contaminated by untold numbers of chemicals. No matter its source. Water from the tap will be contaminated by having come in contact with all sorts of metals and plastics from all of the pipes and machinery through which it needs to travel to get to your kitchen. It is also exposed to toxic chemicals used to kill off any potential pathogens. Water from the sea has been exposed to almost every man-made and naturally occurring chemical in existence. Spring water is exposed to salts, metals and micro-organisms in the soil. Basically, liquid water is completely unusable. This means that we need a source of non-liquid water, for example, water that has been distilled.

Some homeopathists will say that this is unnecessary. They may say that the initial solution is concentrated enough to essentially swamp out any residual memory in the water from earlier chemicals. If this is true, then this would only apply to the first few dilutions. Once the remedy has been diluted enough times, then it will have the same approximate strength as the residuals in the water being used. So it will be competing with all of the chemicals from the water’s history to make itself felt. This is not a solution to the problem. The only logical solution is to use pure distilled water for every step of the preparation to ensure that the patient only receives the necessary remedy and not exposure to untold numbers of other chemicals. So the first question to ask your homeopathist is “Do you use distilled water?”

Still on the topic of making the dilutions, what happens to the waste from the intermediate steps? It is impossible to manage all of the water required without disposal of some of it. As an example, if you wanted to make a 100X dilution, starting with 1oz and not disposing of any intermediate steps, you would require 10 to the power of 100 ounces of water, or….
Since these homeopathic remedies have real, physical effects (remember we are assuming all of the claims are true) then it would be irresponsible and unethical to simply dump the intermediate steps down the drain. Doing so would effectively contaminate every drop of water that comes into contact with this waste. Again, if the memory effect is a quality of the liquid state of water, then the only ethical thing to do is to distil the water before disposing of it. This would effectively destroy any memory stored in the water. So the next question to ask your homeopathist is “Do you safely and ethically dispose of your wastes?”

A competing theory of how homeopathy works states that the memory of water is something that needs to be activated through intention. That is, when dilutions are are being mixed, a person needs to do it and apply their intention to the process in order to imprint the memory onto the water. If we assume that this is true, then it does remove our first concern about the source of the water, since we would effectively be “reformatting” the water during the imprinting process. But we are still left with the issue of ethical disposal of waste products, since even a single drop of homeopathic remedies is reputed to be effective. So the practitioner still has a responsibility to safely and ethically dispose of any waste products.

But if this process of intentionally imprinting the memory of the chemical into the water is correct, then homeopaths, as healthcare providers, have a moral obligation to shut down over the counter homeopathic remedies. By their definition, these over the counter remedies are bogus, since they are done in a factory by machines. There is no person involved providing the intentionality needed to imprint the memory onto the water. So, ethically, homeopaths need to start petitioning government to ban these quack remedies. To do less would be immoral. So another question to ask your homeopath is “Do you believe intention is important, and if so, what have you done to remove quack remedies off of store shelves?” I expect my healthcare providers to be highly ethical.

Sam Harris on TED

Posted on March 24, 2010 at 8:46 am

I just saw Sam Harris’ latest TED talk where he spoke about whether science could speak on morality.  The more I hear from him, the more I agree with him.  He laid out his line of reasoning, and I agreed with every step.  He didn’t go so far as to say that we have the answers, but that this was a sphere of knowledge that is open to this kind of investigation.  In this way, we can move towards finding right answers, as opposed to just accepting what some religious power mongers tell us.  Check it out on YouTube.

P.S.  I know I’m late with my two new columns.  Just be patient.  I’m hoping to get them started this Friday.

Two new columns

Posted on March 8, 2010 at 5:06 pm

Well, I’ve had several ideas mulling around in my head, and I think they’ve reached the point where I’m ready to start actually working on them. I’ve had two ideas for regular articles: a “What if?” column, and a column of “Maple for Mythbusters”. The first column will be articles where I look at different ideas and say “What if this idea were real? What would it mean?” The first one is going to look at homeopathy, and make the assumption that it is real. Starting there, what else do we have to accept, by logic, due to accepting that homeopathy is real. I’m going to look at a different idea for each article. The second column is going to look at different experiments that the Mythbusters have done and see how we can use Maple to do some scientific computations around those experiments. I really like Maple, and I think more people should be supporting a Canadian made product.

These two columns are going to run on alternate weeks, starting with “What if?” this Friday. If you have any ideas for either column, things you’d like to see covered, please let me know.

Sending Talking Bibles to Haiti?

Posted on January 19, 2010 at 10:06 am

OK. Just how stupid are Christians? Haiti has been completely devastated. They desperately need food and water, and medical aid. So instead of sending food and water and medical aid, what is being sent? Talking Bibles! This is not the time to be wasting what little capacity there is to get real aid into the country. After we’ve actually rebuilt homes, and gotten people fed and treated their wounds, then sure, go ahead and try to brainwash them. But now, when they are at their most beaten, is not the time to go down and shove this type of garbage down their throats. Unless, deep down somewhere, they know that the only way to get a convert is to pounce on people when they are at their weakest. Bunch of parasites. Can you tell this pisses me off a bit?

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Here Be Dragons

Posted on July 8, 2008 at 12:41 pm

I don’t know if you’ve ever listened to the Skeptoid podcast, but Brian Dunning produces it.  You can find it on iTunes and at skeptoid.com.  He has recently produced a video called Here Be Dragons.  This video is an amazing introduction to skeptical thinking, and ways in which thinking can go wrong.  This should be mandatory viewing for everyone.  You can get it from the skeptoid site, or from it’s own site at herebedragons.com.  I hope everyone who reads this goes out and watches this video.

How does Superman fly?

Posted on May 23, 2008 at 11:23 am
I’ve seen in several places where so-called physicists have declared that the scene in the first Superman movie, in which he flies around the Earth and reverses the flow time, is impossible. This is because they have not thought through his mode of propulsion and the results that derive from that.

First, how does Superman fly? Well, the last time I checked, he didn’t fuel up on bean burritos before going on a trans-atlantic flight. This means that he is not likely expelling and kind of propellantto get his thrust. But, if he doesn’t have anything coming out his back end, then he must not be able to get forward thrust, hence he can’t fly. QED. Not so fast, says the geeky general relativist. He can get an effect that looks like thrust from an outside observer. It’s obvious that he must have some way of manipulating the gravitaional field locally around his body. Whether he has some exotic matter in his cells, or whatever, the details of the mechanism are left out for now. Once you accept the fact that he can manipulate the gravitational field, all of his powers become logical conclusions from this fact. He can fly because he isn’t thrusting himself up, but altering his local gravitational field so that he falls upwards. He can anchor himself to the ground and stop a steaming locomotive because he alters his ADM mass to appear much heavier to an outside observer. He can catch a falling Lois Lane without liquefying her insides by altering her acceleration downwards, once she gets close enough to him to fall into his general relativistic effects.

And, he can make time on the Earth go backwards. By flying around the Earth, he sets up a rotating ring of severely warped spacetime. This sets up closed causal loops that allows him to slip backwards to a point in the Earth’s past. Simple really :-)

Latest Skepticality Epsiode

Posted on April 2, 2008 at 9:51 am

The latest episode of Skepticality is out and can be found at www.skepticality.com. Reviews of the new Ben Stein movie, Expelled, are discussed with Dawkins, Shermer and others. If you want to see more about the movie, check out www.expelledexposed.com. I think I may need to see this, if I can avoid throwing something through the TV.

Tantra Fails

Posted on March 26, 2008 at 12:47 pm

Well, this challenge should have completely destroyed belief in Tantra. The most powerful Tantrik in India was challenged to destroy a skeptic. Of course he was an utter failure. But somehow, I predict that there will be just as much belief in Tantra as before. Check out this write up on it.

The Great Tantra Challenge

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